Friday, March 23, 2007

my country for 2 points

What a glorious game - does it pay to loose to stay ahead in the Super 8's? Does the SL team have a strategist? Isn't it wonderful that we can play these armchair games?


As Sri Lanka go in to fight India in tonight's game - it is completely mind blowing but would it actually be beneficial for us to loose (not that I want it).


First you need to understand the nature of the Super 8’s. If we win against India than we get 2 extra points in the Super 8’s and India goes bowing out and Bangladesh goes thru. You only get to keep the points if you have beaten that team. The point is by having Bangladesh in the Super 8’s we never get to play them again and all the other teams do (in a sense negating our 2 points). If India goes thru to the Super 8’s all of the other 6 teams have to play her - fired up and looking to take the World Cup for themselves. Surely they would be able to win a couple of games? Thus the points would be more evenly spread. and Sri Lanka would be better placed for a spot in the Semi’s.

So you understand the conundrum?

But I have now done a further scenario based analysis and what we do need is for us to BEAT India and for Australia to beat South Africa. The resulting Semi-finals then should be:

  1. Australia
  2. South Africa
  3. Sri Lanka
  4. New Zealand
Which is just where we want to be ...

Oh what a glorius game we weave when first set out to spin the cup..

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